I just looked at the pro football reference career value list, they don't have hall of fame chances like the NBA since the pro football hall of fame is a comparatively disgraceful mess, but it's pretty interesting. Brady, Brees, Rivers, Rothlisberger, Rodgers, and Ryan are way up there, obviously. The only people on the list around Luck's age are Russell Wilson and Cam Newton. Russel Wilson at 114 points (they seem to be a complicated and uninterpretable system) and Andrew Luck is at 79. So he's not even close.
that seems to be the consensus from listening to 15 mins of sports radio until I got sick of the topic.